Owing to the proliferation of conventional and social media, political campaigns are unending. Politico’s already begun writing about a potential Gov. Andrew Cuomo vs. Hillary Clinton faceoff in the 2016 presidential primary.
So has the New York Times. Cuomo’s aspirations are in limbo until Mrs. Clinton makes a decision, leaving the New York governor to focus on reelection in 2014. But that focus on New York State issues may be a sign that Cuomo is resigned to regional rather than national prominence. Cuomo seized upon the Newton tragedy to make the toughest gun laws in the country even tougher. New York State currently requires the registration of all handguns, even those kept at home.
On other fronts, Cuomo has stalled “fracking” in an appeal to the party’s left. He hasn’t made clear a final position, perhaps keeping that a hole card to play out at the right time. Still, with a political pedigree and deep roots in New York politics, Cuomo is the “man who would be king.” Facts indicate that a major obstacle stands in Cuomo’s way: Hillary Clinton.
* The 2016 Democratic primary won’t be decided on the single issue of gun control, but Clinton’s more moderate position, outlined in her 2008 bid, would benefit a national candidate rather than a regional one.
* Hillary Clinton’s experiences as 2008 presidential contender, New York Senator, Secretary of State, and First Lady give her a powerful advantage over Gov. Cuomo’s resume, detailed in Bio True Story, of a New York Attorney General and HUD secretary under President Bill Clinton.
* A Feb. 8 Quinnipiac popularity survey shows that Mrs. Clinton leads other national figures by a wide margin and, notably, does not list Cuomo as a national figure.
* Quinnipiac surveys like the Jan. 30 poll on Gov. Cuomo give him high popular ratings among both Republicans and Democrats of New York, but his recent slippage among Republicans could mark him as a strictly regional candidate.
* In an opinion that is pervasive in media, the New York Daily News used the word “crush” last year to describe Clinton’s advantage over the New York governor; a kinder story in Politico last year reported that New York Democrats like Cuomo for governor but not for president.
* In a Politicker account of Fred Dicker’s talk radio show, Cuomo was circumspect when asked if he would support a Hillary Clinton presidential bid, perhaps realizing that fate alone could install him among the frontrunners of 2016.
* Cuomo’s ties to the Clintons and the Kennedys (through a prior marriage, says Fox News) would provide news outlets a delectable fodder of material should both Cuomo and Clinton enter the Democratic primary.
* While the clamor for a Hillary Clinton candidacy builds, The Guardian Express notes the political action committee for Mrs. Clinton as the first “organized for any potential 2016 candidate.”
* America loves its “firsts” and the liberal Huffington Post today described the enthusiasm with which a Clinton candidacy would be greeted by Democrats.
* Hillary Clinton’s single greatest vulnerability is the tragedy of Benghazi, but an article in liberal Slate epitomizes the widespread media belief that Mrs. Clinton scored a technical decision if not a TKO.
* A combined Hillary Clinton – Andrew Cuomo ticket represents a political miscalculation but Snopes.com explains that there is no statute against it.
Anthony Ventre is a freelance writer and a Yahoo contributor in news, commentary, and financial writing.