Waiting to draft a QB has always been a viable fantasy football strategy. There are always at least 32 starting QB’s who will touch the ball on every play. Despite the best efforts of fantasy analysts everywhere, there is always a QB or two who comes out of nowhere to to carry fantasy teams. So why pay the premium to draft a QB early when there are so many quality options available later?
The QB position looked to be deep headed into the 2012 season. Then Robert Griffin III, Andrew Luck, Russell Wilson and Colin Kaepernick had breakout seasons. As we head into the 2013 season, the QB position is positively loaded. There are at least 12 solid fantasy QB’s available right now. Even if you’re the last team to select a QB in a 12-team league, you should be in pretty good shape at the position.
With so much depth, it’s important to actually dig a little bit deeper. You have the luxury of selecting between several fine options, so take advantage of it. In particular, I want to look at the four breakout QB’s from 2012 listed above. It’s not a given that all of these young passers continue to produce at such a high level. Here are my rankings:
- Robert Griffin III (WAS) – All of the reports about Griffin have be glowing and he is expected to be ready for Week 1. He was in the running last year to be the No. 1 scoring QB in fantasy football. Even if he cuts back his running, he’s a good enough passer to continue to produce at an elite level. Coming off of an ACL injury, there’s some added risk here. But the rewards far outweigh it. The QB position is deep enough to make it easy to protect yourself by adding a solid backup.
- Andrew Luck (IND) – Luck admittedly doesn’t have the running ability of the other QB’s ranked here. But man, oh man can he sling that football. His presence is not unlike that of the Peyton Manning, the man he replaced. The Colts have numerous young weapons who will have benefited greatly from another year of experience. The signing of Ahmad Bradshaw will help to solidify the running game. The continued presence of Reggie Wayne will give Luck the dependable target that every elite fantasy QB needs.
- Russell Wilson (SEA) – Wilson has immense potential. Especially with the addition of WR Percy Harvin. But Seattle is a team that relies on running the football early and often. Wilson’s ability to create with his legs and find the end zone will keep his fantasy value high. It might be too much to expect him to exceed the success he had in 2012, even though he started slowly. If not for the injury to Michael Crabtree, I would have preferred Colin Kaepernick here.
- Colin Kaepernick (SF) – The injury to top WR Michael Crabtree wasn’t devastating for Kaepernick’s fantasy value. But it will take a hit. The addition of Anquan Boldin should help. As will increased roles in the passing game for Vernon Davis and LaMichael James. The 49ers will continue to run the ball at least as much as they pass it. Kaepernick will create additional fantasy value by using his legs, but those points come sporadically. If we hear about a November return for Crabtree, I will feel much better about drafting Kaepernick.
When you draft these players, remember that fantasy football is a season-long game. Don’t be discouraged if one of these players gets off to a slow start. It happens. Especially with young players. These players are all capable of huge fantasy weeks, so keep them in your lineups.
Thanks for reading and good luck to you and your fantasy teams this season.